Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 1.558089 1.965371 2.521708 3.375651 4.734787 6.993346 11.554445
2025-08-24 1.055722 1.464782 2.120216 3.370031 6.104574 13.579505 53.984052
2025-08-31 0.801675 1.169786 1.814230 3.218749 7.083193 24.018440 849.844719
2025-09-07 0.684297 1.042295 1.719876 3.396542 9.316160 62.419772 NaN
2025-09-14 0.591351 0.926886 1.596831 3.415776 11.318066 194.171409 NaN
2025-09-21 0.515184 0.822903 1.459799 3.305721 12.737282 885.291062 NaN
2025-09-28 0.460198 0.747508 1.361729 3.253927 14.671282 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.437532 0.730353 1.390872 3.653500 22.698839 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.410144 0.698016 1.373088 3.880807 32.505906 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.378476 0.651318 1.305766 3.858882 39.921115 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.347217 0.601158 1.217886 3.691001 43.550246 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.328148 0.575088 1.190060 3.800747 61.077993 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.313581 0.557680 1.184532 4.045252 106.103638 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.294921 0.528715 1.139364 4.043498 150.798494 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.274561 0.493601 1.069144 3.847101 165.724105 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.264542 0.481372 1.066052 4.079246 396.521752 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.251860 0.461406 1.034766 4.104467 800.826758 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.237790 0.436776 0.984348 3.960553 1107.699491 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.226212 0.417130 0.946981 3.893039 2195.890137 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.223605 0.418911 0.980175 4.417451 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.217830 0.412235 0.983635 4.719360 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.208931 0.396893 0.954067 4.690128 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.198807 0.377698 0.908104 4.467083 NaN NaN NaN